Both the New York Times and Wall Street Journal headlined on Friday about "everyday citizens’ deeply shaken confidence that their lives will keep improving,” as the WSJ puts it.
Why are they concerned?
"For much of the past four decades, China’s economy seemed like an unstoppable force, the engine behind the country’s rise to a global superpower,” says the Times. "But the economy is now plagued by a series of crises. A real estate crisis born from years of overbuilding and excessive borrowing is running alongside a larger debt crisis, while young people are struggling with record joblessness.”
So, "amid the drip feed of bad economic news, a new crisis is emerging: a crisis of confidence," says the Times.
Consumers are holding back on spending, businesses are reluctant to invest and create jobs, and would-be entrepreneurs aren't starting new businesses, the Times says.
The erosion of confidence is fueling a downward spiral that's feeding on itself, says Larry Hu, chief China economist for Macquarie Group, an Australian financial services firm. Chinese consumers aren’t spending because they're worried about job prospects, while companies are cutting costs and holding back on hiring because consumers aren’t spending.
Unlike past crises that were international in nature, a convergence of long-simmering domestic problems is confronting China — some a result of policy changes by President Xi’s government, says the Times.
For example, the real estate market is reeling from the government’s measures from three years ago to curb heavy borrowing by developers, while crackdowns on the fast-growing technology industry prompted many tech firms to scale back their ambitions and the size of their work forces, the Times says.
Confronted with the dwindling confidence, the government has fallen back on a familiar pattern and stopped announcing troubling economic data, says the Times.
This month, China’s National Bureau of Statistics said it would stop releasing youth unemployment figures, a closely watched indicator of the country’s economic difficulties.
In April, the bureau stopped releasing surveys of consumer confidence, discontinuing a survey series it started 33 years ago.