China’s military is making "giant strides" toward replacing the United States as the supreme power in Asia, according to a Reuters investigation.
With the Pentagon distracted by nearly two decades of war in the Mideast and Afghanistan, the Chinese military, the People’s Liberation Army, has exploited a period of sustained budget increases and rapid technical improvement to build and deploy an arsenal of advanced missiles, Reuters says.
Many of these missiles are specifically designed to attack the aircraft carriers and bases that are the backbone of U.S. military dominance in the region and which for decades have protected allies including Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.
Across nearly all categories of these weapons, based on land, loaded on strike aircraft or deployed on warships and submarines, China’s missiles rival or outperform their counterparts in the armories of the United States and its allies, according to current and former U.S. military officers with knowledge of PLA test launches, Taiwanese and Chinese military analysts, and technical specifications published in China’s state-controlled media.
China also has gained a virtual monopoly in one class of conventional missiles – land-based, intermediate-range ballistic and cruise missiles.
Under the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, a Cold War-era agreement to reduce the threat of nuclear conflict, the United States and Russia are banned from deploying this class of missiles.
But China, which isn’t a party to the INF Treaty, is deploying them in massive numbers, says Reuters.
China also is making rapid strides in developing so-called hypersonic missiles that can maneuver sharply and travel at five times the speed of sound or faster. The United States currently has no defenses against a missile like this, according to Pentagon officials.
The Pentagon has begun to publicly acknowledge that, at least in missiles, China has the upper hand. “We are at a disadvantage with regard to China today in the sense that China has ground-based ballistic missiles that threaten our basing in the Western Pacific and our ships,” the former commander of U.S. forces in the Pacific, Admiral Harry Harris, said in testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee in March of last year.
The Trump administration appears to be clearing the way for the United States to compete, says Reuters. On Feb. 1, Trump announced that the United States would withdraw from the INF treaty, accusing Russia of breaching the agreement. He said in a statement that the United States would quit in six months unless Russia returned to compliance. Trump also said China had more than 1,000 missiles of the range covered by the INF Treaty. He said the United States now would develop a ground-launched conventional missile that would have been banned under the treaty.
This could help to offset China's advantage, military experts say, but it will take time, probably years, for the United States to develop and deploy these weapons.
Since the end of the Cold War, the U.S. Navy has been able to use its carriers to bludgeon weaker enemies, approaching close enough to launch air strikes with the confidence that the giant warships are untouchable.
But now, in the event of conflict with China in East Asia, Pentagon planners and other regional militaries say they're wrestling with how to respond to something they haven't seen since World War II: a return to highly contested warfare at sea.
For the United States and its regional allies, a top priority is to wrest back the lead in the range war, Reuters says.